Publications

27 Apr

Q2 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2022

Global Investment Climate - Key Points The geopolitical crisis is disrupting economic forecasts and risk assessments Ballooning inflation seems inevitable and poses a major threat to global growth Central banks are not keeping inflation under control, which could lead to a “hard landing” Yield curve adjustments are already contributing to monetary tightening Bond and equity [...]
25 Jan

Q1 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2022

Global Investment Climate - Key Points Renewed enthusiasm for risky assets in Q4 Upward adjustment of yield curves Global liquidity declines as monetary policies normalise The global economy is on a solid growth path in 2022 Inflation may find a second wind in rising wages Rising rates and falling global liquidity are new risks UAE [...]
26 Oct

Q3 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2021

Global Investment Climate – Key Points A transitional quarter for financial assets Monetary policy normalisation begins The business cycle is not threatened by the Delta variant The real drivers of inflation are not transitory Long-term interest rate cycle trending up Return of uncertainty for risky assets UAE Investment Climate – Key Points UAE economy on […]

24 Sep

SWISS GDP GROWTH IS ON TRACK TO REACH +3.5% IN 2021 AND +3% IN 2022

The Swiss economy is in top form. Growth figures leading to trend reversal in bond markets. The SNB is still not afraid of inflation. Significant correction underway in equity markets. Key Points Swiss GDP grows +1.8% in Q2 2021 and 7.7% year-on-year Strong comeback of domestic demand Leading indicators support a solid growth outlook Manufacturing […]

17 May

Inflation at its highest since 2008 may well cause a shock to equity markets

Equity markets are threatened by rising interest rates following the historic rebound in inflation. Trend change in the “Growth” vs “Value” match. Complicated outlook for US equities. European equities are already approaching their 2021 targets. Key Points Rising US inflation and long rates threaten equity markets Trend change in the “Growth” vs “Value” match Complicated […]

06 May

Prospects and Strategies – International Real Estate

International real estate goes toe to toe with equities. Vaccination campaigns offer new perspectives. Economic stimulus packages also benefit real estate. Key Points International real estate goes toe to toe with equities Vaccination campaigns offer new perspectives The long-term effects of the pandemic on international real estate markets should be kept in perspective Economic stimulus […]

29 Apr

Prospects and Strategies – International Bonds

Long-term interest rates will gradually rise across the board. Renewed attractiveness of dollar bonds. Investment strategy focused on USD, CAD, and AUD markets. Key Points Long-term interest rates will gradually rise across the board Renewed attractiveness of dollar bonds New upward trend in interest rates temporarily curbed by ECB action Trend reversal in interest rate […]

22 Apr

Are we heading for a new positive commodities super cycle?

An incredible 2020 for commodities. Focus on the last two super cycles for commodities. Rapid inventory reduction. Four main factors supporting increased demand. Key Points An incredible 2020 for commodities Focus on the last two commodities super cycles Are we heading for a new positive commodities super cycle? Rapid inventory reduction Four main factors supporting […]

20 Apr

Q2 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2021

Global Investment Climate – Key Points Bond markets are finally taking into account the improved growth prospects The rise in long-term interest rates is intensifying in the US but is partially sparing the euro zone Business cycles are gradually converging Global growth will be strong in 2021 and 2022 Financial assets could suffer from the […]

17 Mar

Did the UK see the worst of it in January ?

UK GDP contracted by -2.9% in January. Exports to the EU plunged by -40.7%. Economic recovery postponed to Q2. Rising long-term interest rates and the prospect of an end to the lockdown support the pound. Key Points  UK GDP shrinks by -2.9% in January Historic fall in British exports Border controls and breach of protocol […]