Publications

03 Jul

Q3 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2023

Global Investment Climate – Key Points Macroeconomic and political risks diminish Positive surprises on the inflation front Monetary policies increasingly decorrelated Hesitations in fixed-income markets Return of risk-on in equity markets Relatively favourable conditions for financial assets UAE Investment Climate – Key Points UAE’s Hydrocarbons GDP Contracts, while Non-Oil Sectors Thrive on Consumer Demand and […]

01 Apr

Q2 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2023

Global Investment Climate – Key Points Waltzing economic scenarios punctuated by waves of uncertainty Banking crisis and threats to the stability of the financial system New paradigm for the evolution of monetary policies A generally positive first quarter for stocks and bonds Phasing out of the main risk factors by 2022 Relatively favourable conditions for […]

01 Jan

Q1 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2023

Global Investment Climate – Key Points The last quarter of 2022 is finally a little more optimistic Inflationary risks gradually decrease Aggressive monetary policies expected to ease in 2023 Weak but positive growth prospects in 2023 More favourable environment for the evolution of interest rates Positive outlook for financial assets UAE Investment Climate – Key […]

26 Oct

Q4 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2022

Global Investment Climate – Key Points Fed’s hawkish speech stops investor optimism dead in its tracks Abrupt and rapid adjustment of rate curves Historical correlation of asset classes in the decline Risk diversification through commodities The decline in inflation is not yet convincing enough Investors stunned by volatility UAE Investment Climate – Key Points UAE […]

28 Sep

Q3 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2022

Global Investment Climate – Key Points Geopolitics continues to influence the markets Inflationary slippage turned all expectations upside down Recession fears take over at the end of the quarter More restrictive monetary conditions are already having a noticeable impact A particularly volatile end to the quarter for financial assets  After a dramatic first half of […]

10 Aug

Relative attractiveness of British assets

Negative GDP in Q2. Resilient leading indicators. The BoE fears inflation at +12% Monetary policy measured. Decreasing risks for the pound. Opportunities in bonds. Attractive relative valuations for equities. Key Points UK GDP advanced by +0.8% in Q1 The 2nd quarter could be down by -0.2 Surprising resilience of leading indicators in Q2 Unemployment rate […]

09 Aug

Window of Opportunity for Swiss Equities?

Domestic demand is supporting growth. Strong franc dampens inflationary momentum. Unexpected change in monetary policy by the SNB. Extreme volatility in the capital market. A window of opportunity opens for Swiss stocks. Key Points Swiss economy resists headwinds Public and private consumption remain the main drivers of the Swiss economy Leading indicators continue to plummet […]

27 Apr

Q2 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2022

Global Investment Climate - Key Points The geopolitical crisis is disrupting economic forecasts and risk assessments Ballooning inflation seems inevitable and poses a major threat to global growth Central banks are not keeping inflation under control, which could lead to a “hard landing” Yield curve adjustments are already contributing to monetary tightening Bond and equity [...]
25 Jan

Q1 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2022

Global Investment Climate - Key Points Renewed enthusiasm for risky assets in Q4 Upward adjustment of yield curves Global liquidity declines as monetary policies normalise The global economy is on a solid growth path in 2022 Inflation may find a second wind in rising wages Rising rates and falling global liquidity are new risks UAE [...]
26 Oct

Q3 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2021

Global Investment Climate – Key Points A transitional quarter for financial assets Monetary policy normalisation begins The business cycle is not threatened by the Delta variant The real drivers of inflation are not transitory Long-term interest rate cycle trending up Return of uncertainty for risky assets UAE Investment Climate – Key Points UAE economy on […]