<h1 class="entry-title">Category: Quaterly Investment Strategy</h1>
27 Apr

Q2 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2022

Global Investment Climate - Key Points The geopolitical crisis is disrupting economic forecasts and risk assessments Ballooning inflation seems inevitable and poses a major threat to global growth Central banks are not keeping inflation under control, which could lead to a “hard landing” Yield curve adjustments are already contributing to monetary tightening Bond and equity [...]
25 Jan

Q1 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2022

Global Investment Climate - Key Points Renewed enthusiasm for risky assets in Q4 Upward adjustment of yield curves Global liquidity declines as monetary policies normalise The global economy is on a solid growth path in 2022 Inflation may find a second wind in rising wages Rising rates and falling global liquidity are new risks UAE [...]
26 Oct

Q3 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2021

Global Investment Climate – Key Points A transitional quarter for financial assets Monetary policy normalisation begins The business cycle is not threatened by the Delta variant The real drivers of inflation are not transitory Long-term interest rate cycle trending up Return of uncertainty for risky assets UAE Investment Climate – Key Points UAE economy on […]

20 Apr

Q2 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2021

Global Investment Climate – Key Points Bond markets are finally taking into account the improved growth prospects The rise in long-term interest rates is intensifying in the US but is partially sparing the euro zone Business cycles are gradually converging Global growth will be strong in 2021 and 2022 Financial assets could suffer from the […]

19 Jan

Q1 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2021

Global Investment Climate – Key Points Health measures necessitated by the 2nd wave threaten growth in the short term Covid-19 factor no longer influencing financial markets Reduced political risks and uncertainties New BFM paradigm supporting enthusiasm and risk-taking Central banks vaccinating markets against high valuations UAE Investment Climate – Key Points UAE economic activity is […]

28 Oct

Q4 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2020

Global Investment Climate – Key Points Investors and the general population were dangerously cavalier over the summer Second wave of Covid-19 now on the horizon Confidence remains inordinately high in financial markets Exiting the economic crisis could be slower than expected Political uncertainty in the US has not been factored in UAE Investment Climate – […]

01 Jul

Q3 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2020

Global Investment Climate – Key Points Pandemic no longer scares investors Central banks’ massive liquidity injections are reassuring A new paradigm is driving government indebtedness Rapid rebound in financial markets and return of a certain euphoria Disturbing dichotomy between financial markets and the real economy UAE Investment Climate – Key Points Revised GDP Projections First […]

01 Apr

Q2 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2020

Global Investment Climate – Key Points Covid-19 suddenly puts a stop to market euphoria Market panic triggers one of the fastest bear markets in history Massive 10 trillion dollars in support from central banks and governments A temporary shock that is likely to be followed by a sharp recovery in H2 Corrections of risky assets […]

01 Jan

Q1 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2020

Global Investment Climate – Key Points The consensus scenario adopts a more positive macroeconomic outlook Status quo on key rates but significant injections of liquidity Beware extreme equity valuations Emergence of serious new geopolitical risks 2020 will not be able to repeat the feats of 2019 UAE Investment Climate – Key Points UAE Economy to […]

01 Oct

Q4 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2019

Global Investment Climate – Key Points No real signs of recession in the US Huge fall in long rates, and more flexible monetary policy The consensus is clearly too pessimistic Rate market forecasts will likely adjust Increased risk of a share correction UAE Investment Climate – Key Points Dubai records 135% growth in FDI in […]