Q1 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2024

15 Jan

Q1 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2024

Global Investment Climate - Key Points

  • A highly volatile but ultimately positive 2023

  • Radical change in stock market climate in Q4

  • The notable deceleration in inflation heralds a refreshed positive perspective

  • An economic slowdown remains the central scenario

  • New monetary policy paradigm for 2024

  • More favorable environment for financial assets

UAE Investment Climate - Key Points

  • Real GDP growth forecast revised down to 3.1% in 2023 before a rebound to 5.7% in 2024

  • The UAE PMI surged to 57.4 in December, marking its second-highest level since mid-2019

  • The inflation projections in the UAE for the year 2023 has been revised downwards to 2.4%

  • Dubai’s Real Estate shows its resilience and adaptability amidst changing economic and market conditions in Q4 2023

  • Abu Dhabi faced decline, while Dubai emerged as the best performing market in the GCC in 2023 with a gain of 21.7%

Key convictions for Q1 2024 - Key Points

  • Inflation gradually returning to acceptable levels

  • Monetary policies on the road to normalization

  • Soft-landing scenario supports yield curve adjustment

  • Positive outlook for financial markets

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