THE SNB COULD ALREADY GO NEGATIVE IN JUNE 2/3

18 Jun

THE SNB COULD ALREADY GO NEGATIVE IN JUNE 2/3

Leading indicators for the Swiss economy remain mixed. The manufacturing sector continues to struggle, with its PMI dropping to a 5-year low, while the services sector shows resilience. Consumer confidence has improved slightly but remains pessimistic, and retail sales are subdued.

Key Points

  • A surprisingly robust first quarter for the GDP
  • High risks of growth slowing in Q2
  • More nuanced and contrasting leading indicators
  • CPI and PPI indices point to deflation
  • SNB could move into negative rates in June
  • SNB may trigger weakening of the franc
  • Long-term yields approach zero again
  • Growing risks for Swiss equities