THE BOE WILL LOWER ITS KEY INTEREST RATES SOONER THAN EXPECTED 3/3

12 Dec

THE BOE WILL LOWER ITS KEY INTEREST RATES SOONER THAN EXPECTED 3/3

In the current decelerating environment, UK Gilts offer a compelling value proposition. With nominal 10-year yields around 4.5% and real yields near 100 basis points, there is significant potential for capital appreciation as the economy slows and the Bank of England nears a pivot. The nearly 200 basis point spread over German Bunds provides a robust risk premium and diversification for global portfolios seeking stable, inflation-protected income.

Key Points

  • The UK misses out on the hoped-for rebound in Q3
  • A difficult end to the year for UK growth
  • Slowing services sector clouds the outlook
  • End of resilience in the labor market
  • Household confidence erodes
  • Inflation shows insufficient signs of easing
  • BoE set to change tone
  • Bond market offers attractive yields
  • Changing expectations for sterling
  • Real estate favored by upcoming rate cuts
  • Moderate outlook for FTSE100 in Q1 2026