In April, UK sees sharpest drop in GDP (-20.4%) since 1703

17 Jun

In April, UK sees sharpest drop in GDP (-20.4%) since 1703

Brutal economic shock in April. BOE must boost its action. Stability of the pound. Negative UK Treasury yields. FTSE100 benefits from favourable relative valuations.

Key Points

  • The UK’s economy is headed for the worst economic recession in Europe
  • Intense shock in April, the worst is probably over
  • Exceptional governmental measures for a unique situation
  • The BOE must go further to support the UK’s economy
  • Likely injections of an additional 100 billion
  • Nothing to expect from leading indicators?
  • First issuance of negative-yielding government bonds
  • Stabilisation of the pound sterling
  • Fundamentals are still in favour of British equities and real estate