CONFIDENCE GROWS STRONGER IN EUROPE 2/3

02 Jul

CONFIDENCE GROWS STRONGER IN EUROPE 2/3

Leading economic indicators for the second quarter of 2025 suggest a continuation of growth in the Eurozone, albeit at a very slow pace. While the manufacturing sector is showing signs of stabilizing, the services sector, which has been the primary driver of recent activity, appears to be losing momentum. This divergence highlights a nuanced and somewhat indecisive economic landscape.

Key Points

  • Economic conditions continue to improve in Europe
  • Positive momentum continues in 2nd half
  • Leading indicators remain moderately optimistic
  • Household confidence set to improve
  • Inflation falls back below ECB target (+2%)
  • ECB to cut rates below 2%
  • Positive but moderate outlook for eurozone bond markets
  • Euro benefits from renewed confidence
  • Securitized real estate benefits from lower rates
  • Return of uncertainty for equities over the summer months