BRITISH BONDS AND REAL ESTATE ARE IN DEMAND 2/3

24 Sep

BRITISH BONDS AND REAL ESTATE ARE IN DEMAND 2/3

The latest purchasing managers' index (PMI) surveys for September continue to paint a picture of a divided economy. In contrast, the manufacturing sector remains mired in contraction, with its PMI at 47.0, its lowest level in several months. This pronounced sectoral divergence suggests an unbalanced and potentially unsustainable growth path, with the weakness of the manufacturing sector likely to weigh on employment and broader investment, acting as a crucial headwind for the economy.

Key Points

  • Growth slows after a robust start to the year
  • The UK economy is running out of steam
  • Leading indicators point to a divided economy
  • The labor market appears to be easing
  • Household confidence is eroding
  • Inflation is not showing sufficient signs of slowing
  • The BoE remains cautious but is reducing its QT program
  • The bond market offers attractive yields
  • Prospects for pound appreciation
  • Securitized real estate remains particularly attractive
  • A cautious approach to UK equities