Bearbull Global Investments

A POSITIVE NEW PARADIGM FOR EUROPE 1/3

07 Apr

A POSITIVE NEW PARADIGM FOR EUROPE 1/3

Posted by BearBull Group In Investment Insight 0 comment

The Eurozone concluded the year with a modest +0.2% GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2024, representing a marked deceleration from the previous quarter. This weakened momentum was primarily driven by a significant slowdown in domestic demand. Overall, the zone ended the year with a modest +1.2% year-on-year increase in seasonally-adjusted GDP.

Key Points

  • Eurozone momentum weakens again
  • Q1 2025 will remain weak before the next upturn
  • Leading indicators are already strengthening
  • Household confidence set to improve in Q2
  • Inflation stabilizes around ECB target
  • ECB to cut rates by a further 0.25% in Q2
  • Positive but moderate outlook for eurozone bond markets
  • Euro benefits from new German paradigm
  • Real estate to benefit from improving sentiment
  • European stocks back in favor with investors

 

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