Sharp rebound in Swiss GDP already anticipated by equity markets

11 Sep

Sharp rebound in Swiss GDP already anticipated by equity markets

The economic recovery is underway. SNB staying on course. Swiss franc likely to weaken against the euro. New paradigm for interest rates. Risks return to equity markets.

Key Points

  • Swiss GDP falls by -8.2% in Q2, by -10.5% in H1
  • Switzerland withstands the shock of Covid-19 better than its neighbours
  • Solid growth prospects in H2 for Swiss GDP, expected to rise by 5.5%
  • SNB maintains a policy distinct from that of the major central banks
  • Swiss franc likely to weaken
  • Temporary new paradigm in fixed income markets
  • Risk-reward ratio again unfavourable to Swiss equities