RETURN OF NEGATIVE INTEREST RATES 1/3

17 Nov

RETURN OF NEGATIVE INTEREST RATES 1/3

The flash GDP estimate published by SECO on November 17th reported an unexpected contraction of -0.5% for Q3 2025. This result abruptly deviated from the market consensus for a soft landing, confirming the more cautious forecasts held by independent analysts. This figure signals a decisive break from the positive momentum observed earlier in the year and highlights the critical, growing vulnerability of the nation's export-driven economic model to international instabilities.

Key Points

  • Sudden but expected slowdown in the Swiss economy
  • Switzerland falls behind a resilient Europe
  • Technical recession or recovery in Q4?
  • Leading indicators confirm the trend
  • CPI and PPI indices sink into deflation
  • A rate cut of -0.5% is now imperative
  • The franc remains temporarily boosted by chaos
  • Avoiding the trap of negative bond yields
  • Duel between industrial recession and monetary infusion