TRUMP’S POLICIES ARE KILLING GROWTH 2/3

16 Apr

TRUMP’S POLICIES ARE KILLING GROWTH 2/3

Economic activity indicators from the New York and Richmond Feds have fallen to their lowest levels since early 2021. The composite PMI remains at a growth threshold of 53.5, but manufacturing has dipped below 50, and political uncertainty is clearly affecting industrial and consumer sentiment. Consumer confidence has dropped to its lowest point since January 2021, pointing to a negative outlook for domestic demand in the second quarter.

Key Points

  • U.S. economy slows down since Trump
  • Growth halted in the first half of 2025
  • Leading indicators point to a slowdown
  • DOGE’s action affects jobs and confidence
  • The Federal Reserve faces a difficult dilemma
  • Tariffs at 15%: +1.5% impact on inflation
  • Fixed income markets benefit from recession risks
  • The context is no longer very favorable for the US dollar
  • Equity markets under Trump’s negative influence