Q4 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2018

01 Oct

Q4 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2018

Global Investment Climate - Key Points

  • Economic growth more tentative in 2019
  • Rising risks related to monetary policies and tightening liquidity
  • Caution with regard to profits and PE ratios in 2019
  • Financial outlook more uncertain in 2019
  • Risks are multiplying and uncertainty is on the rise

UAE Investment Climate - Key Points

  • U.AE Cabinet Approves USD 49.01 billion Budget 2019-2022
  • Growing government spending to offset weaker private consumption
  • Sharp increase in oil production
  • New UAE law enables federal government to issue sovereign bonds
  • Dubai real estate sales fell 20% during the first nine months of 2018

Key convictions for Q4 2018 - Key Points

  • Limited economic risks in Q4
  • US monetary policy still in normalisation phase
  • Interest rates trending back up
  • Increasing risks of trade war
  • Weaker outlook for yields