Q2 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2018

01 Apr

Q2 Investment Strategy & Outlook 2018

Global Investment Climate - Key Points

  • Slight economic dip, but excellent prospects for 2018
  • Renewed volatility forecast for financial markets
  • Interest rates, inflation and the “trade war” put pressure on prices
  • High equity valuations have now corrected
  • More attractive new investment opportunities

UAE Investment Climate - Key Points

  • Stronger than expected GDP growth estimate in 2017
  • Significant rebound in headline inflation during the 4th quarter of 2017
  • Deflation in quarterly housing costs and increasing risk of oversupply
  • Trend reversal in off-plan property sales
  • What lies ahead for the UAE property market?

Key convictions for Q2 2018 - Key Points

  • Global GDP growth may exceed +4% in 2018
  • Inflation and interest rates are still factors of uncertainty 
  • Price correction relieves valuations too high
  • Finally, new investment opportunities in the 2nd quarter
  • A context favorable for real estate and commodities