RISKS OF DISRUPTION OF GLOBAL AGRICULTURE 3/3

The current paralysis acts as a catalyst for a historic pivot toward domestic agricultural inputs. If the blockade persists through the 2026 season, the pass-through of high costs to meat, dairy, and grains will become inevitable by autumn. This crisis is accelerating a technological shift, with the green ammonia and specialized fertilizer market projected to jump from 30.8 billion in 2026 to over 52 billion by 2034 as nations race to decouple their food security from volatile conflict zones.