HIGH CONCENTRATION RISK IN U.S STOCKS 2/3

07 Oct

HIGH CONCENTRATION RISK IN U.S STOCKS 2/3

Posted by BearBull Group In Macro Research Insights 0 comment

The U.S. services sector remains the main engine of growth entering Q4, with the S&P Global Services PMI surging to 58.8 alongside a 54.9 ISM Services reading. Spending on dining, travel, and leisure has held firm despite inflation and depleted savings, while manufacturing also remains resilient with an ISM reading of 54.5. However, the ISM Services "prices paid" sub-component elevated at 74 underscores persistent price rigidity that complicates the Federal Reserve's rate path. Consequently, while private sector activity buffers against contraction, stubborn service costs present a lingering obstacle to rapid disinflation.

Key Points

Resilience in Q2 and controlled inflation absorption
Expected deceleration in GDP in Q3
Leading indicators are supported by the services sector
Regular downward revisions to job creation figures
The Fed rules out any preemptive rate cut
Inflation stabilizes at a high level over the summer
Rising volatility and bond yields
The Fed’s tightening reignites interest in the greenback
High concentration risk in equities

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