THE SWISS ECONOMY SURPRISES WITH ITS STRENGTH 2/3

09 Sep

THE SWISS ECONOMY SURPRISES WITH ITS STRENGTH 2/3

Swiss exports surged +10.7% in July 2026, the sharpest monthly jump in a decade, driven by chemical and pharmaceutical demand. With imports dropping -2.8%, net trade provided a strong boost to overall GDP. This surge highlights the structural resilience of Switzerland's pharmaceutical sector against global headwinds. A late-2025 trade agreement also offers key competitive protection in the U.S. market. However, traditional manufacturing sectors like watchmaking and machinery still face broader full-year revenue declines.

Key Points

  • Largest GDP growth since the pandemic
  • GDP growth returning to normal in H2
  • Record increase in Swiss exports in July
  • Strong signals from leading indicators
  • Inflation driven by energy prices and the weaker franc
  • The SNB still has no cause for concern
  • The franc is expected to continue weakening
  • No attractive opportunities in bonds
  • Real estate fund premiums stabilize at high levels
  • Swiss stocks benefit from the weaker franc