المنشورات

24 Aug

Dubai Real Estate Flash Note – Regulation & Rent (RERA & Rental Index)

RERA has recently updated its algorithms to better align the calculator with recent transaction realities (Ejari data). This initiative is progressively bridging the gap between existing tenancy rates and new contract market rates, ensuring investors benefit from predictable asset revaluation while minimizing tenant turnover (churn rate) Prospective Expert Analysis RERA has recently updated its algorithms […]

20 Aug

Dubai Real Estate Flash Note – Real Estate Market Assessment (DLD & Mo’asher)

To date, the Dubai market does not exhibit the characteristics of a speculative bubble ready to burst: household debt remains exceptionally low relative to total asset value (over 70% of transactions are executed in cash). We anticipate a more moderate and healthier sales value growth over the next 12 months (between +4% and +7%), driven […]

31 Jul

ECONOMIC RESEARCH – MARKET FLASH – Bessent’s announcement is comestic and has no lasting effect

A recession and an asset reallocation will have a greater impact The Mounting Fiscal Pressure and Erosion of Buyer Confidence The Long-term Treasury bond yields are currently scaling heights unseen since the 2007 financial crisis, with the 10-year yield hovering stubbornly around 4.75% and the 30-year bond yield breaching the 5.30% threshold. This dramatic upward […]

10 Jul

A SURPRISING START TO THE KEVIN WARSH ERA 3/3

The US bond market is locked in a direct conflict that tests the resolve of Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. While a cooling labor market fuels defensive bond buying due to recession risks, persistent core inflation and a hawkish Fed keep pressure on the long end of the yield curve. This volatility has forced a sharp […]

08 Jul

A SURPRISING START TO THE KEVIN WARSH ERA 2/3

The US manufacturing sector demonstrated surprise structural strength in Q2, with the ISM and S&P Global PMIs peaking at multi-year highs of 54.0 and 55.3 respectively. While tech and automotive demand anchored this production momentum, the massive consumer services engine nearly stalled out. Squeezed by elevated fuel prices, discretionary spending on travel and leisure plummeted, […]

06 Jul

A SURPRISING START TO THE KEVIN WARSH ERA 1/3

The final upward revision of Q1 US real GDP to +2.1% masked deep structural vulnerabilities, as growth was artificially driven by involuntary corporate inventory accumulation rather than real demand. Service spending collapsed from an initial +1.8% estimate to a meager +0.5%, while overall personal consumption contributed just +0.3%. High tariffs, an aggressive energy price rebound, […]